Industry Insights
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Nine Months After LA's Worst Wildfire: Why California Businesses Are Bleeding Money

January 2025 wildfires destroyed 20,000+ LA structures. Nine months later, business interruption claims are still being fought. Learn why recovery takes years.

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Written by
Amber Lynn
Nine Months After LA's Worst Wildfire: Why California Businesses Are Bleeding Money

LOS ANGELES, CA – On January 7, 2025, wildfires erupted across Los Angeles, devastating Pacific Palisades, Altadena, and Pasadena. When the Palisades and Eaton fires were finally contained three weeks later, over 20,000 structures lay in ruins, 30 people had died, and insured losses reached $25-40 billion—potentially the costliest disaster in U.S. history.

Nine months later, the true cost continues mounting. Businesses that survived physically are failing financially. Supply chains remain disrupted. Employees can't return to work because their homes were destroyed. Commercial tenants are walking away from leases, unable to operate in areas with decimated customer bases.

This isn't just about property damage anymore—it's about the hidden, ongoing costs of catastrophic wildfires that insurance policies never fully cover.

The January 2025 Fires: Los Angeles's Costliest Disaster

The Scale of Destruction

  • 20,000+ structures destroyed across Pacific Palisades, Altadena, Eaton, and other areas
  • 50,000+ acres burned in densely populated urban areas
  • 200,000 people evacuated from their homes
  • $25-40 billion in insured losses (estimates vary)
  • $76-131 billion in total economic losses including uninsured damages

Why These Fires Were Unprecedented

Unlike rural wildfires that burn through forests and threaten scattered homes, the January 2025 fires consumed dense urban neighborhoods filled with businesses, high-value real estate, and critical infrastructure. The Palisades and Eaton fires rank among the costliest wildfires in California history precisely because they burned through areas with expensive commercial and residential property.

The business toll includes:

  • Restaurants, retail stores, and service businesses destroyed outright
  • Office buildings rendered unusable by smoke contamination
  • Manufacturing facilities shut down by utility infrastructure damage
  • Tourism and hospitality businesses with no customers to serve

The Business Interruption Nightmare: When Coverage Doesn't Match Reality

Property insurance pays to rebuild destroyed buildings. But business interruption (BI) insurance compensates for lost income during reconstruction—and that's where California businesses are discovering their coverage falls catastrophically short.

The "Period of Restoration" Trap

BI coverage pays lost income during the "period of restoration"—the time it takes to repair or rebuild with "reasonable speed and due diligence." But what's "reasonable" after a disaster that destroyed 20,000 structures?

The insurer's position: "Rebuilding your 3,500 sq ft restaurant should take 9 months. We'll pay BI for 9 months."

The reality: Contractors are booked 3 years out. Building permits take 6-9 months just to obtain. Supply chain delays push timelines even further. Actual reconstruction time: 30-36 months.

The gap: 21-27 months of lost income with zero coverage.

Real-world example: A Pacific Palisades boutique hotel was destroyed. Pre-fire revenue: $350,000/month. The owner secured a $12 million property claim settlement and 12 months of BI coverage ($4.2 million). But obtaining permits took 11 months, and reconstruction is projected at 28-32 months. The hotel will lose an additional $6-7 million in income during months 13-32 with no insurance coverage for that period.

Extended Period of Indemnity: The Coverage Most Businesses Don't Have

Some BI policies include "extended period of indemnity" coverage—paying lost income for an additional period after physical repairs are complete while the business ramps back up to normal revenue levels.

Why it matters: Even after a restaurant reopens, it may take 6-12 months to rebuild its customer base, rehire staff, and restore pre-fire revenue levels.

The problem: Extended period endorsements typically cover only 30-90 days. After urban wildfires, businesses need 12-18 months to fully recover.

Example: A salon in Altadena reopened 18 months after the fire. Revenue months 19-24: 40% below pre-fire levels as former customers had found other salons and the neighborhood population had declined. The extended period coverage paid for 60 days only, leaving 16 months of reduced income uncompensated.

Hidden Losses Insurance Doesn't Cover: The $4.6 Billion Economic Drain

The Los Angeles County Economic Development Corporation estimates the January fires will cause $4.6-8.9 billion in lost economic output over five years—losses that extend far beyond direct property damage.

Supply Chain Disruptions

Businesses that weren't damaged directly still suffered when suppliers, vendors, or customers were destroyed:

Example 1: A downtown LA clothing manufacturer survived the fires physically. But its fabric supplier in Pasadena burned down. Without raw materials, the manufacturer shut down for 7 months until finding alternative suppliers. Total revenue loss: $2.8 million. Insurance recovery: $0 (contingent business interruption coverage requires physical damage to the insured property).

Example 2: A catering company lost 60% of its customer base when the businesses it served were destroyed or relocated. Revenue dropped from $140,000/month to $55,000/month for 14 months. Insurance recovery: $0 (loss of customers isn't covered under standard BI policies).

Workforce Displacement

When employees lose homes in wildfires, businesses lose critical workforce capacity:

The cascade effect:

  • 16,000+ housing units destroyed
  • Displaced families relocate to distant areas
  • Employees face 2-3 hour commutes or quit
  • Businesses can't find replacement workers in decimated neighborhoods
  • Revenue drops due to reduced capacity

Example: A medical practice in Pacific Palisades lost its office building but leased temporary space 3 miles away. However, 4 of its 7 staff members lost their homes and relocated to distant counties. Unable to commute 2+ hours each way, they quit. The practice operated at 40% capacity for 11 months while searching for replacement staff. BI coverage doesn't compensate for workforce unavailability.

Regulatory and Permitting Delays

California's post-disaster building code requirements, environmental reviews, and permitting backlogs add 12-18 months to reconstruction timelines:

The permitting nightmare:

  • Wildfire hazard assessments required before rebuild approval
  • CEQA (California Environmental Quality Act) reviews for commercial structures
  • Updated building codes requiring expensive fire-resistant materials and designs
  • Utility infrastructure must be rebuilt before structures can be occupied
  • Inspection backlogs due to thousands of simultaneous reconstruction projects

Example: A retail center owner secured all necessary financing and contractor commitments within 3 months of the fire. Then spent 14 months obtaining permits and approvals from multiple agencies. During that 14-month period, the property generated zero income but still incurred $280,000 in property taxes, loan interest, and site security costs. BI coverage paid only for "the period of restoration"—starting when reconstruction actually began, not during the permit delay.

The "All Loss by Fire" Standard: Smoke Damage Without Flames

One unique aspect of California wildfire insurance law is creating new coverage disputes: properties that didn't burn but were contaminated by toxic smoke.

California Insurance Code §§ 2070-2071: The Standard Fire Policy

California's Standard Fire Policy promises coverage for "all loss by fire"—a uniquely broad protection that courts have interpreted to include smoke and soot contamination, even without direct flame damage.

What this covers:

  • Homes that didn't burn but are uninhabitable due to toxic smoke infiltration
  • Businesses contaminated by ash, soot, and carcinogenic particulates
  • HVAC systems compromised by smoke contamination
  • Inventory destroyed by smoke damage

The controversy: Insurers initially denied many smoke contamination claims, arguing properties were "habitable" if they didn't burn. After litigation, courts reaffirmed that toxic contamination rendering properties unsafe constitutes "loss by fire" under California law.

Business impact: Restaurants, medical offices, and retail stores that appeared undamaged externally required extensive remediation—demolition of drywall, HVAC replacement, professional decontamination—costing $100,000-500,000. Many insurers initially denied these claims before regulatory pressure forced coverage.

Laboratory Testing Becomes Critical Evidence

Courts increasingly recognize contamination at the microscopic level requires professional remediation, even when buildings look superficially intact.

What testing reveals:

  • Asbestos fibers from burned structures
  • Heavy metals (lead, cadmium, arsenic) from burned vehicles and electronics
  • Carcinogens (benzene, formaldehyde, PAHs)
  • Cyanide from burned plastics
  • Toxic particulates embedded in porous materials

If lab testing shows contamination at levels exceeding EPA safety standards, structures require remediation before occupancy—and insurers must pay under California's "all loss by fire" standard.

Pro tip: If your business was in the vicinity of wildfire smoke, obtain professional testing before cleaning anything. Document contamination levels with lab reports. This evidence is critical if insurers claim your property wasn't damaged.

Civil Authority Coverage: When Government Orders Close Businesses

Many businesses suffered losses not from direct fire damage but from mandatory evacuations and road closures preventing access.

What Civil Authority Coverage Provides

This endorsement compensates for lost income when government orders prohibit access to your business location due to a nearby covered event.

Typical coverage: 2-4 weeks of lost income when civil authorities prohibit access.

The January 2025 reality: Evacuation orders and road closures lasted 3-6 weeks in many areas. Some roads remained closed for months during utility reconstruction.

The dispute: Insurers argue coverage applies only while mandatory orders are in effect. But what about the weeks after orders are lifted when customers still can't or won't return due to ongoing cleanup, utility outages, and safety concerns?

Example: A Pacific Palisades restaurant was undamaged but closed for 7 weeks due to evacuation orders (3 weeks) and utility outages (4 weeks). Civil authority coverage paid for 2 weeks only. The owner lost $210,000 in revenue during weeks 3-7 with no insurance recovery.

Mudslides After Wildfires: The Efficient Proximate Cause Doctrine

California wildfires create new hazards: burned hillsides become vulnerable to mudslides during winter rains. The question: are mudslides covered under fire insurance policies?

California's DOI Bulletin 2025-3

The California Department of Insurance issued guidance confirming that mudslides occurring after wildfires may be covered under the "efficient proximate cause doctrine"—if the wildfire was the primary cause that set the chain of events in motion.

How it works: If a wildfire burned vegetation that normally stabilizes hillsides, and subsequent rainfall caused mudslides that wouldn't have occurred but for the fire, the mudslide damage may be covered under fire insurance—even if the policy excludes "earth movement."

Why this matters: Standard property policies exclude earthquake and mudslide damage. But if insurers must cover wildfire-related mudslides under the efficient proximate cause doctrine, businesses in fire-affected hillside areas have critical additional protection.

The litigation: This doctrine will be tested extensively in coming years as winter rains trigger mudslides in burn scar areas across Los Angeles.

Four Critical Steps California Businesses Must Take

Step 1: Conduct Professional Contamination Assessment

If your business was anywhere near the January fires—even if it appeared undamaged:

  • Hire environmental consultants to test for toxic contamination
  • Document contamination levels with EPA-certified lab analysis
  • Photograph all affected areas before any cleaning or remediation
  • Preserve samples of contaminated materials

This evidence is critical if insurers deny smoke damage claims.

Step 2: Understand Your BI Coverage Time Limits

Review your business interruption coverage now:

  • What's the maximum period of indemnity? (12 months? 18 months? 24 months?)
  • Do you have extended period of indemnity coverage?
  • Does your policy have "soft costs" or "expediting expenses" coverage for overtime and premium costs to speed reconstruction?
  • Can you purchase additional BI coverage retroactively if your current limits are inadequate?

If your limits are insufficient for realistic reconstruction timelines after major disasters, increase coverage immediately.

Step 3: Document Your Full Economic Losses

Create a comprehensive record of all economic impacts:

  • Lost revenue (compare current revenue to pre-fire levels)
  • Continuing expenses (rent, insurance, property taxes, loan payments)
  • Extra expenses to minimize losses (temporary locations, expedited shipping)
  • Workforce displacement costs (recruiting, training, premium pay for long commutes)
  • Supply chain disruption impacts
  • Customer base deterioration

Even if insurance doesn't cover all these losses, documentation is critical for tax deductions, SBA disaster loans, and potential FEMA assistance.

Step 4: Understand California's Unique Fire Coverage Protections

California's Standard Fire Policy and "all loss by fire" standard provide broader coverage than policies in other states:

  • Smoke contamination without flames may be covered
  • Toxic particulate infiltration requiring remediation is covered
  • Mudslides proximately caused by wildfires may be covered
  • Insurers cannot use the "habitability" standard to deny contamination claims if lab testing shows unsafe conditions

Consult with attorneys who specialize in California fire insurance law to ensure you're receiving all coverage you're entitled to under state law.

Next Steps: Protecting California Businesses from Future Fires

The January 2025 fires exposed critical gaps in how businesses prepare for and recover from catastrophic wildfires. Traditional property and business interruption insurance provide baseline protection, but grossly underestimate actual recovery costs and timeframes after urban wildfires.

Work with insurance professionals who understand:

  • Adequate business interruption coverage for extended reconstruction periods
  • Extended period of indemnity endorsements for revenue ramp-up periods
  • Civil authority coverage for government-ordered closures
  • Contingent business interruption for supply chain and workforce disruptions
  • California's "all loss by fire" standard for smoke contamination claims
  • The efficient proximate cause doctrine for wildfire-related mudslides

Most importantly: adequate coverage costs far less than experiencing a catastrophic loss with insufficient insurance. The businesses struggling most nine months after the fires are those who underinsured because they never imagined fires destroying entire urban neighborhoods.

California's new reality requires businesses to plan for disasters that were once considered impossible. The insurance you buy today determines whether your business survives the next catastrophic wildfire.

Source: Los Angeles County Economic Development Corporation, UCLA Anderson Forecast, California Department of Insurance Bulletin 2025-3, Milliman wildfire loss estimates